Friday, 23 September 2011
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A recently released WikiLeaks cable shows
that China is converting much of its foreign holdings in gold; far away
from the U.S. dollar.
A majority of China's gold reserves are located here in the U.S and in some European countries.
While the U.S. and Europe have an
alternative agenda to dissuade people from viewing gold as an
international reserve currency, China's upping their ante. In doing so,
China aims to push other countries towards reserving in more and more in
gold; leaving the U.S dollar by the wayside.
Last week, European business
officials announced that China plans to make its currency,
the yuan, fully convertible for trading on international markets by
2015. Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of China's central bank, said the
offshore market for the yuan is "developing faster than we had imagined"
but there is no definitive timetable for making the currency fully
convertible. Presently, the yuan cannot be easily converted into other
currencies, because of government restrictions.
China's gold holdings are small
compared to other major economies. It has 1,054 tonnes, the
sixth-largest reserves in the world, according to data from the World
Gold Council.
This only furthers the complications and
growing weakness of the dollar. As China is buying tons of gold and the
yuan is traded freely, the dollar's dominance is under great pressure to
maintain its status as the international reserve currency. These
changes could very easily make it much more expensive for our government
to borrow money, and to “run perpetual trade and budget deficits."
The U.S should prepare for a major wake-up call, because we may not have the #1 reserve currency for long...
As a reserve currency, the US dollar
is the default for international transactions. If, for example, a South
Korean company wants to buy wine from Chile, chances are they will
carry out the transaction in dollars. Both companies must then purchase
dollars to conduct their business, leading to greater demand. The value
of global commodities, such as oil, is also generally demarcated in US
dollars.
Being a reserve currency allows the
US to borrow at low interest rates, as central banks around the world
are eager to buy US government debt. "Any country that can finance its
expenditures by printing money or selling bonds is essentially getting a
free lunch," Aizenman told Al Jazeera.
With China's apparent change of
heart, that "free lunch" now might come with a hefty tab. Given the
massive US trade deficit, average Americans might be sent to the
restaurant's kitchen to wash dishes if the dollar loses its status as
the world's reserve currency.
Many experts suspect other countries will
follow China's lead and invest more heavily in gold reserves
themselves. The good news for China is that large gold reserves help
promote the internalization of its RMB (the official currency of the
People's Republic of China). That's just more bad news for the U.S. and
the dollar...
This further signals how crucial our
relationship with China has become. Currently, “ChinAmerica” – a term
for the Chinese/American relationship coined by historian Niall Ferguson
– is the most significant economic relationship in the world. Three
decades ago, no one foresaw this shift in dynamics.
source : Wealth Wire
Category:
Gold Saving / Investment
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